Ranking companies on the issues Americans care about.

The JUST Index: 2 Years Later

Happy Birthday JULCD 🎂

On November 30th the JUST U.S. Large Cap Diversified Index (JULCD) marked its second anniversary of live trading. JULCD is based on JUST Capital’s unique methodology to rank the largest U.S. companies on the issues that matter most to the American public. JULCD offers diversified U.S. equity exposure and is generally compared with broad U.S. equity benchmarks, as well as Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) tilted indexes. It includes the top 50% of JUST-ranked companies within each of the 10 broad ICB industries.

We take this opportunity to assess JULCD’s performance since inception from the perspectives of return, risk, and relative returns compared with ESG-focused peers. While JUST Capital’s methodology include 36 aspects of just business behavior, we also highlight here a few of its ESG attributes, within each of the three ESG pillars. The next reconstitution of the JULCD will take place on December 21st, based on JUST Capital’s 2018 rankings release that will take place December 10th.

Many Happy Returns

First we examine JULCD’s performance compared with its parent universe, the Russell 1000. As shown below, since its inception JULCD has returned 33.8%, or 3.9% more than the Russell 1000 over the same two-year period. This is equivalent to 1.7% annualized outperformance.

Cumulative Returns

JULCD Russell 1000 Difference
Cumulative Return 33.8% 29.9% 3.9%

Note: Nov 30, 2016 – Nov 30, 2018 returns.

From a volatility perspective, the JULCD’s annualized standard deviation has been 11.9%, or 0.3% higher than the Russell’s. The resulting Sharpe ratio of 1.32 is higher than the Russell’s over this period.

Annualized Return and Volatility

JULCD Russell 1000 Difference
Annualized Return 15.7% 14.0% 1.7%
Annualized Std Dev 11.9% 11.6% 0.3%
Annualized Sharpe 1.32 1.2 0.12

Note: Nov 30, 2016 – Nov 30, 2018 returns.

From a benchmark risk perspective, the JULCD’s beta at 1.02 has been close to the Russell’s, while its tracking error has been a moderate 94 basis points. Overall, its Information Ratio of 1.8 indicates that the Index has produced a proper reward for the risk taken.

 

Cumulative JULCD benchmark risk vs Russell 1000

Annualized Tracking Error 0.94%
Information Ratio 1.81
Beta 1.02

Note: Nov 30, 2016 – Nov 30, 2018 returns.

The appendix to this note decomposes the JULCD’s outperformance by industry, as well as by Fama-French factors. We find that JULCD’s outperformance has been fairly broad based, adding value in seven out of 10 industries and flat in the other three. The factor shows that over two-thirds of the outperformance can be attributed to alpha that can not be explained by size, value, investment, profitability, momentum, or market factors.

Two-Year Performance Ahead of the ESG Pack

We also compare JULCD’s performance with that of the major passive diversified large- and mid-cap U.S. ESG-focused benchmarks as well as the Russell 1000. We examine 2-year, 1-year, and 2018 year-to-date performance. We find that JULCD was first out of twelve over two years, and third place over one year as well as year-to-date.

ESG Index Cumulative Total Return Comparison

Source: Bloomberg, as of November 30th, 2018. Sorted by descending two-year total return.

JULCD Relative Valuation

Like most passive benchmarks, the JULCD’s methodology does not explicitly incorporate valuation. We construct a weighted valuation comp table vs the Russell 1000 to identify if there are any major discrepancies versus the overall Russell 1000 and by industry based on P/E, P/CF, P/B, and dividend yield. As shown, JULCD’s overall valuation is in-line or slightly below the Russell 1000’s, indicating that at this time the market is not requiring a premium valuation to hold companies in the top 50% of JUST Capital’s rankings.

Source: Bloomberg as of 11/30/2018.

A Few ESG Metrics

Thus far we’ve focused on examining JULCD’s performance along traditional investment metrics, and in what follows we review its performance on a handful of ESG metrics, chosen from each of the three ESG pillars. We believe that this only scratches the surface of JULCD’s performance on the aspects of just business behavior we evaluate.

Environmental Performance

Starting with environmental performance, we examine JULCD’s footprint on emissions, resource use, and environmental compliance. Compared with Russell 1000 companies excluded from the JULCD index, on average JULCD constituents produce 45% fewer GHG emissions, consume significantly fewer resources, recycle nearly 7x more, and face a fraction of the environmental fines.

Mean Performance on Select Environmental Metrics

Notes: Based on JUST Capital 2017 rankings data. Companies with missing GHG intensity are imputed by industry mean. Companies with missing fuel or electricity intensity are not included in above means. Companies with missing water intensity are imputed by industry mean. Companies with missing recycling rate are assigned a value of zero. Companies with no environmental fines are assigned a value of zero.

Social Spotlight

Equal opportunity workplace policies are a critical component in JUST Capital’s framework and incorporate not basing any personnel decisions on race, religion, gender, age, ethnicity, sexual orientation, disability status, or other such characteristics. In this section we focus on a third-party examination of how JULCD performs on gender equality. Based on data from Equileap, As You Sow has produced gender equality scorecards for investors. We show below the scorecard for a fund based on JULCD which shows solid performance compared to the overall market as well as its peers.

Source: genderequalityfunds.org

Governance of just business behavior

Within the governance pillar we examine an oversight metric collected by JUST Capital. The metric examines for every ranked company whether the board has a committee responsible for issues measured by JUST Capital such as environmental, health and safety, and social matters, and whether the committee has a regular, formal, schedule to review such issues. This is a general indication of the priority the company places on such issues. We find that 38% of JULCD constituents have this oversight, while 23% of excluded companies do not. While that 38% is clearly not yet consistent with the priorities of the American public, it is noticeable higher than for the excluded companies.

Note: Assessment of whether there is a board committee with responsibility for one or more JUST business behaviors, excluding widespread and routine issues.

Final Thoughts

We’ve reviewed JULCD’s performance since inception from the perspectives of return, risk, comparables, valuation, attribution, and select ESG metrics. We’ve found evidence of idiosyncratic alpha with moderate tracking risk, peer-leading performance, and strong environmental, social, and governance attributes. Please see our JUST Alpha research for additional analysis. We expect to continue to update this work following the JULCD’s December 21st reconstitution.

 


Appendix: Fama-French and Industry Attribution Analysis

In order to identify the source of the JULCD’s outperformance we conduct both factor and industry attribution analyses. First, we run a momentum-augmented 6-factor Fama-French decomposition through October 2018 (latest available data). We also conduct an industry attribution analysis.

As the charts below show, we find that over two-thirds of JULCD’s outperformance can not be explained by any of the six factors and may be considered alpha. The main factor exposures in the JULCD’s outperformance can be attributed to exposure to larger companies, companies with above-average investment rates, and positive momentum, The outperformance can not be explained by exposure to the value or profitability factors, and very little to market (or beta) exposure.

 

Industry Attribution Analysis

As expected, the industry attribution analysis shows that all of JULCD’s outperformance is derived from stock selection, not industry allocation, consistent with JULCD’s industry-neutral construction methodology. Furthermore, the source of outperformance is also diverse across industries, with outperformance in 7 out of 10 industries, and in-line performance in 3 out 10. This suggests that JULCD’s outperformance is not overly dependent on stocks selection within any particular industry.

Based on November 30, 2016 – November 30, 2018 returns. Columns may not sum to total due to rounding.

Disclosures

This material is provided for informational purposes only. It is not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell, or a promotion or recommendation of, any financial product, security or trading strategy. Although certain information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, neither JUST Capital nor any of its affiliates (collectively, the “JUST Parties”) guarantee its accuracy, completeness or fairness. The JUST Parties have relied upon and assumed without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of all information available from public sources. This material, and the JULCD, is provided “as is” and the user of this material or the JULCD assumes the entire risk of any use it may make or permit to be made of this material and the JULCD. This material may not be used to verify or correct other data, to create indexes, risk models, or analytics, or in connection with issuing, offering, sponsoring, managing or marketing any securities, portfolios, financial products or other investment vehicles. Historical data and analysis should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of any future performance, analysis, forecast or prediction. Views and opinions expressed are for informational purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation by the JUST Parties to buy, sell, or hold any security. Views and opinions are current as of the date of this presentation and may be subject to change, they should not be construed as investment advice. The JUST Parties do not in any way sell, sponsor, support, promote, or endorse any securities based on the JULCD, or have any involvement in their operations or distribution. The JUST Parties and any other person or entity involved in or related to compiling, computing, or creating the JULCD expressly disclaim all implied representations, warranties, and liabilities relating to or in connection with any investment vehicle that seeks to provide an investment return based on the performance of any index (including, without limitation, any warranties of originality, accuracy, completeness, timeliness, non-infringement, merchantability, and fitness for a particular purpose). No JUST Party makes any claim, prediction, warranty, or representation whatsoever, expressly or impliedly, either as to (i) the results to be obtained from the use of the JULCD or any of the data included in the JULCD, (ii) the level at which the JULCD is said to stand at any particular time on any particular day or otherwise, (iii) the suitability of the JULCD for the purpose to which it is being put in connection with any investment vehicle seeking to provide an investment return based on the JULCD, or (iv) the advisability of investing in securities generally or in any index or other investment product. No JUST Party has provided, nor will any provide, any financial or investment advice or recommendation in relation to the JULCD. None of this material, nor the JULCD is intended to constitute any financial or investment advice and may not be relied on as such. No JUST Party shall be (i) liable (whether in negligence or otherwise) to any person for any error in the JULCD or (ii) under any obligation to advise any person of any error therein. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event shall any JUST Party have any liability for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, punitive, consequential (including without limitation lost profits), or any other damages in connection with the JULCD. Index Benchmarks The JULCD Index is calculated and maintained by FTSE Russell using the Russell 1000 Index and the rankings of companies provided by JUST Capital. FTSE Russell does not sponsor, endorse, sell, or promote any investment vehicle that is offered by any third party that seeks to provide an investment return based on the performance of any index. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Confidentiality This document and the information included herein are proprietary to JUST Capital and are protected by copyright and other intellectual property laws. JUST Capital has registered the “JUST Index” and “JUST Capital Index” trademark. No part of this material may, without JUST Capital’s prior written consent, be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form, by any means, or (ii) distributed to any person that is not an employee, officer, director, or authorized agent of the recipient. © The Just Capital Foundation, Inc. All rights reserved.

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